RSS February 2016

The RSS data is now in for February and it's a whopping 0.974 °C. Very much in line with the UAH figure.

This means that Monckton's Great Pause is no more, at least for a while. Whether this makes any sense depends on how meaningful you thought Monckton's definition was in the first place. Here's what the previous pause now looks like:

From June 1997 the trend to present is now +0.09°C/Century, and the smallest trend is from December 1997, at a mere +0.01°C/Century. I expect Monckton will point out, correctly that these are pretty much still zero.

By contrast the warming trend since the end of 2006 is now 1.92°C/Century.

In fact RSS shows there has been warming at over 2°C/Century since February 2007, over nine years of rapid warming! That of course means nothing as it's only 9 years and cherry picked to start in an La Niña, and ends with an El Niño. It's just that Monckton has in the past used even shorter time intervals to claim rapid global cooling has occurred.

Finally, here's the full trend:

This is a rise of 1.26°C/Century.